Historically, the stock market usually sells off in a bear market about a year (give or take a few months) BEFORE a recession actually hits. WHEN a recession actually hits, the stock market selling accelerates with massive seller capitulation, worse than now. It's then that you be a hero and can buy for much, much cheaper. Since the bear market started 6 months ago, we have anywhere from 6-12 months more selling in a bear market (lower highs, lower lows), until the recession actually hits in early or mid 2023. The selling isn't done yet because the recession hasn't even come yet, meaning don't be a hero now and try to catch a falling knife, or you will get hurt, badly. All rallies are to be sold or shorted. You just wait, the recession WILL come.
Putin and Xi aren't done destroying the supply side with his war against Ukraine to wipe it off the map and steal their land, and Xi's zero COVID lockdowns. It can be argued China's getting cheap oil from Russia so they can continue these lockdowns to hurt the West/US in a silent economic war. The Feds only option is to destroy the demand side of the SUPPLY = DEMAND equation to bring the two in balance. The Feds HAVE to induce a recession to fix inflation.
An even scarier scenario is Putin stops all oil and gas exports to Europe. Global oil prices will sky rocket above $200. Russia will continue to sell oil to India and China at discounted rates, which is fetching higher oil revenues now than before the invasion of Ukraine! Global recession follows in months.
The 1970s and 80s oil shocks and inflation led to an entire decade of the stock market being stagnant, whereas in Japan, their stock market has not recovered for over 40 years! FORTY YEARS!!! Even in the good US of A, after the 1999 pump and dump, the market didn't recover for around 15 years. It recovered in 2008 only to fall even deeper before recovering a few years later, after the Feds went to basically zero rates.
In other words, as long as the Feds keep raising rates in a high inflation environment, the euphoric rallies of the past will be used for selling the rips and new bag holders tricked by big banks like JPMorgan so they can dump on you.
By the time this is all said and done, I wouldn't be surprised to see $spy in the low 300s or high 200s (.i.e. the S&P $^gspc in the 2800-3200 range), and the Nasdaq in the 5-8K range. $amzn, $aapl, etc. will not be immune.
Many of the large money per share stocks are splitting. They are very smart and are rolling with this new economy. You too are very smart if you buy these stocks! $AMZN $TSLA $SHOP $GOOGL $AAPL. Be greedy when everyone is fearful!!!
OPEC to increase oil output, Australia bumper wheat, to alleviate food supply issues, China lockdown eases as they learned from Shanghai and didn't need to lock down Beijing. Inflation peaked in March and heading down. Some companies like Apple are moving manufacturing to Vietnam. Markets to make all time highs again within the year. Got myself some $AMZN for the split, $ROKU, $MDB, $SPY, and $AAPL.
Is no one else afraid of China attacking Taiwan? Companies like $NVDA, $AMD, $TSLA, $AAPL, who have operations in Taiwan especially, or mainland China would all be affected. China is continuing to grow their military and build it's unsinkable aircraft carriers in the South China Sea. The signs are all there, like when Russia started building troop positions around Ukraine. Why aren't companies like NVDA moving manufacturing outside of Taiwan???????? An attack by China (WHEN, not IF) will send stock prices down 50% or more in a blink of the eye.
Market is forward looking. It don't care that inflation is here. It only cares that inflation is getting lower. Market already sold off. Bullish Ascending Triangle on the 5+ day chart. It's been trading in range, ready for lower CPI tomorrow. The chart formation says we go green today back to the upper range of the trading channel. Tomorrow, we sky rocket, and shorts will panic cover with longs FOMO chasing.
We are winning Guys Just hold. Augmented Reality area big companies like $MSFT ( They won Federal contracts) $FB, $AAPL are investing more in the field. Autonomous driving technology we all are aware.
Putin and Xi aren't done destroying the supply side with his war against Ukraine to wipe it off the map and steal their land, and Xi's zero COVID lockdowns. It can be argued China's getting cheap oil from Russia so they can continue these lockdowns to hurt the West/US in a silent economic war. The Feds only option is to destroy the demand side of the SUPPLY = DEMAND equation to bring the two in balance. The Feds HAVE to induce a recession to fix inflation.
An even scarier scenario is Putin stops all oil and gas exports to Europe. Global oil prices will sky rocket above $200. Russia will continue to sell oil to India and China at discounted rates, which is fetching higher oil revenues now than before the invasion of Ukraine! Global recession follows in months.
The 1970s and 80s oil shocks and inflation led to an entire decade of the stock market being stagnant, whereas in Japan, their stock market has not recovered for over 40 years! FORTY YEARS!!! Even in the good US of A, after the 1999 pump and dump, the market didn't recover for around 15 years. It recovered in 2008 only to fall even deeper before recovering a few years later, after the Feds went to basically zero rates.
In other words, as long as the Feds keep raising rates in a high inflation environment, the euphoric rallies of the past will be used for selling the rips and new bag holders tricked by big banks like JPMorgan so they can dump on you.
By the time this is all said and done, I wouldn't be surprised to see $spy in the low 300s or high 200s (.i.e. the S&P $^gspc in the 2800-3200 range), and the Nasdaq in the 5-8K range. $amzn, $aapl, etc. will not be immune.
As usual, this thing very RED
$WIMI $AAPL $TWTR
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$^dji $^gspc $aapl $msft $amzn $goog $meta $snap $tsla $rivn $amd $nvda $twtr
I told you all since march : this thing will be $125
This thing has lost -%28 of its value
long turn it will back $WIMI $AAPL $SPY
$AAPL conversation
Will Wall Street “Paint the Tape?” For end of the quarter.
They did last two weeks in March!
I told you all : this thing can not hold any small win
$spy
$uvxy
$^gspc
$aapl
$amzn
$ARKK $QQQ $TSLA $AAPL $COIN